Paramount’s Gemini Man might not have the strongest opening weekend according to current tracking for the upcoming Will Smith action film.
The tracking for the film’s domestic opening weekend is currently at $25-30 million (via BoxOfficePro), which places the film in the range of After Earth’s $27.5 million, The Pursuit of Happiness’ $27.5 million, and Wild Wild West’s $27.6 million.
These projected numbers would be certainly low considering Smith’s recent studio tentpole openings like Suicide Squad’s $133.6 million and Aladdin’s $91.5 million.
I say low considering the number of special effects shots that are involved with Gemini Man de-aging Will Smith’s clone character in the film, which would suggest a rather large budget and they’ve been promoting the film for months (those advertising dollars add-up).
The film might get a shot-in-the-arm leading up to the final marketing push.
However, with Joker looking to open $100 million-plus the prior weekend, there will likely be some holdover business in that second weekend that could take a chunk out of the Gemini’s opening box office.
Paramount Pictures has set Gemini Man’s release date for October 11th.
Gemini Man is an innovative action-thriller starring Will Smith as Henry Brogan, an elite assassin, who is suddenly targeted and pursued by a mysterious young operative that seemingly can predict his every move. The film is directed by Academy Award®-winning filmmaker Ang Lee and produced by renowned producers Jerry Bruckheimer, David Ellison, Dana Goldberg, and Don Granger. Also starring are Mary Elizabeth Winstead, Clive Owen, and Benedict Wong.