Some early tracking on John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum has the third installment of the assassin action franchise starring Keanu Reeves suggests that the film could open to $30-40 million during its domestic opening weekend via new information from BoxOfficePro.

Since the budgets of the Wick films are relatively smaller than the average blockbuster opening at this level ends up becoming actually profitable for Lionsgate and this might be very good news for those holding out hope Reeves and director Chad Stahelski might return for John Wick: Chapter 4. Stahelski had mentioned to EntertainmentWeekly in December that audiences would likely gauge the determination if they make a fourth movie and he’d “happily” return to do it.

Stahelski reveals that he would happily make a fourth John Wick film if the audience enjoys this movie, but he isn’t counting his chickens yet. “We did the first one and were like, ‘They’re going to laugh at us,’” he says. “This one, I’m already looking for janitorial jobs.”

The original John Wick opened to $14.4 John Wick: Chapter 2 opened at $30.4 million, so if these numbers hold or increase (the latter is a strong possibility given we’re like two months away from release) there is a good chance that the third film’s opening will end up a franchise high. Considering how we’ve seen Shazam! quickly creep-up $10 million and the massively low estimations/tracking for Jordan Peele’s Us it’s possibly the movie could end up going even higher than $40 million as each installment seems to get more asses in seats.

I wouldn’t be terribly shocked if the film’s tracking went up to the $50 million plus range in the coming months, that’s just speculation though.

In this third installment of the adrenaline-fueled action franchise, super-assassin John Wick (Keanu Reeves) returns with a $14 million price tag on his head and an army of bounty-hunting killers on his trail. After killing a member of the shadowy international assassin’s guild, the High Table, John Wick is excommuincado, but the world’s most ruthless hit men and women await his every turn.

The cast consists of Keanu Reeves, Halle Berry, Laurence Fishburne, Mark Dacascos, Asia Kate Dillion, Lance Reddick, Anjelica Huston, Said Taghmaoui, Jerome Flynn, Jason Mantzoukas, Tobias Segal, Robin Lord Taylor, Yayan Ruhian, Tiger Hu Chen, Cecep Arif Rahman, and Randall Duk Kim.

Its script was penned by creator Derek Kolstad along with Shay Hatten, Chris Collins, and Marc Abrams.

John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum will hit theaters on May 17th.


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